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March 20, 2024
財經

Fed利率按兵不動 點狀圖仍顯示今年降息三次

美聯儲在美東時間20天下午2時結束一連兩天的政策會議,並發布會後聲明,宣布聯邦資金利率目標區間維持在5.25%~5.5%,從官員的利率預測可看出,他們仍預測今年將以每次1碼的步調,降息三次。

根據Fed決策會後公布的利率點狀圖,官員對2024年利率落點預測中位數是4.6%,和去年12月預測一樣。

對於2025年的利率預測中位數,從3.6%上調至3.9%。更長期來看,決策官員認為2026年時基準利率為3.1%,較去年12月預估的2.9%上調。

國內生產毛額(GDP)方面,今年預估有望成長2.1%,較去年12月預測值1.4%增加0.7個百分點,2025年的GDP成長率則是2.0%。

至於通膨率預測,今年核心PCE指數年升率預估為2.4%,和去年12月時預測的一樣,明年則從2.1%上修至2.2%。

今年失業率預測為4.0%,較去年12月預估的4.1%下修;明年也是4.1%。

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