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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

貿易前景好轉 OPEC減產 油價創三個月新高

石油輸出國組織(OPEC)及盟國實施減產,效果顯著,加上美國向伊朗、委內瑞拉實施制裁,紐約期油、布蘭特期油周一齊升至去年11月以來的高位。貿易談判前景樂觀,緩和了全球對原油需求的擔憂情緒。

紐約期油周一最多升0.97%至56.13;布蘭特期油最多升0.8%至66.78,兩者都是自去年11月的高位。OPEC 及盟國於去年 12 月初的會議取得共識,自 2019 年起,朝住每日減產 120 萬桶的目標邁進。減產計劃在今年生效,相信是推高油價的原因。此外,美國對伊朗及委內瑞拉的經濟制裁,也令油價獲得支持。OPEC減產,抵銷了部分美國原油產量急增帶來的影響。美國1月原油產量創新高,升至1,190萬桶。澳盛銀行分析師亦認為,原油價格上升,是因為美中貿易談判有正面的訊號,帶動市場的投資情緒。美中兩國本週將於華府,展開新一輪貿易磋商,據悉中國國務院副總理劉鶴,明日將率團赴美。上週五,總統特朗普指,美中貿易談判相當順利,他或許會把貿易戰停火限期延長,並預期未來將與中國國家主席習近平會面。貿易談判的樂觀進展及中國經濟企穩,帶動了風險資產的表現,以及OPEC減產的超預期因素。現貨黃金創近十個月高點至每盎司1327.71。

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