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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

美國9月消費者信心指數攀升至六個月高點

週五(18日)發布的密歇根大學消費者信心指數初值顯示,9月指數從8月終值74.1升至78.9。彭博調查經濟學家預估中值為75。預期指數上漲4.8點至73.3,也是六個月高點;現況指數攀升4.6點至87.5。

今日發布的密歇根大學消費者信心指數升至六個月以來的高位78.9,高於預期的75。大部分受訪者經濟將會出現好轉,只有16%的受訪者表示,他們預計未來一年經濟會惡化,這是自2015年以來的最小比例,並且與經濟和勞動力市場正在緩慢復蘇的趨勢一致。然而,該信心指數仍然低於疫情前水平。

報告還顯示,9月通脹預期略有下降。消費者預計未來一年的通脹率為2.7%,低於8月份預估的3.1%,長期通脹預期也下降。消費者調查首席經濟學家理查德柯登(Richard Curtin)在評論數據時表示,9月初消費者信心改善,觸及4月以來區間的頂部。儘管最近的增長與持平趨勢保持一致,但數據表明,選舉已經開始對未來經濟前景的預期產生影響。

據悉,消費者信心指數(ICS)是反映消費者信心強弱的指標,是綜合反映並量化消費者對當前經濟形勢評價和對經濟前景、收入水平、收入預期以及消費心理狀態的主觀感受,預測經濟走勢和消費趨向的一個先行指標,是監測經濟周期變化不可缺少的依據。 消費者信心指數由消費者滿意指數和消費者預期指數構成。

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