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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

格老指負利率將擴散來美國

聯儲局前主席、金融界最具影響力人物之一的格林斯潘((Alan Greenspan)表示,負利率很快就會擴散來美國,這個只是一個時間的問題。而達拉斯聯儲銀行總裁卡普蘭就表示,他正在關注製造業轉弱會否影響到消費開支。

金融界的殿堂級人物、現年九十三歲的聯儲局前主席格林斯潘,早前在一個訪問中表示負利率很快會擴散來美國,這個並不是會不會現負利率的問題,而是何時會出現的問題。目前,全球已經有超過十六萬億美元的債券是負利率。格林斯潘指出,應該要留意三十年期國庫債券的孳息率。對於國家經濟是否瀕臨衰退,格林斯潘就認為要視乎股市的表現。

另一方面,達拉斯聯儲銀行總裁卡普蘭(Robert Kaplan),今早在加拿大多倫多一場活動中發表演說時表示,他正在關注製造業弱勢是否繼續惡化,以及消費者是否開始認為消費方面需要轉趨審慎。卡普蘭表示,現時的經濟都偏向有下行的風險,他個人都調整了有關的預測,認為聯儲局的決策官員如果對消費市場轉弱過度抱持觀望態度,會導致反應緩慢,加長對症下藥的時間。

供應管理協會之前公布的製造業指數,從七月份的51.2,下降至八月份的49.1,創下自2016年一月以來的最低紀錄。指數低過五十這個盛衰分界線,代表製造業出現衰退。

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