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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

新計算方式啟用 上週初領失業金88萬人優預期

勞工部週四 (3 日) 宣布,本週起將啟用一套新的計算方式。截至 8 月 29 日當週,美國初領失業金人數為 88 萬人,優於市場預期且低於前值,續領失業金人數亦顯著改善,大幅回落至 1400 萬人以下。

勞工部數據顯示,經季節性調整後,美國上週初領失業金報 88.1 萬人,少於市場預期 95 萬人,前值自 100.6 萬人上調至 101.1 萬人。

另外,截至 8 月 22 日當週,續領失業金人數報 1325.4 萬人,市場預期 1400 萬人,前值自 1453.5 萬人,下調至 1449.2 萬人。截至 8 月 29 日當週,初領失業金 4 週移動平均值為 99.2 萬人,前值自 106.8 萬人,上調至 106.9 萬人。

本週數據降至近五個月低點,很大程度上反映季節性調整計算方法的更動。勞工部發言人表示,自本週起,將改變調整初領失業金的方法,先前數據則不溯及既往。正常情況下,就業情況會隨著假期、工廠定期關閉等因素產生變動,然而經濟學家認為,今年意外爆發的疫情不符合歷史規律,可能導致季節性調整後的失業人數過於高估,因此進行調整。

三菱日聯首席經濟學家認為,新的季節性調整方法是導致本週數據下滑的一大原因,但他認為就業市場表現依舊十分糟糕。

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