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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

大摩調低全球石油需求增長預期

因應在中國爆發的新型冠狀病毒疫情,繼續在全球多個國家擴散,大型國際金融服務公司摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)表示,已經下調了今年的全球石油需求增長預期,因為石油需求因為疫情迅速蔓延而放緩。

摩根士丹利在昨日發表的一份報告中表示,目前預計,中國今年的石油需求增長,將會近乎是零。在疫情爆發之前,中國全年的石油需求增長預期,已經是偏低的每日三十五萬桶。由於新型冠狀病毒已經在全球範圍蔓延,預期中國以外地區的石油需求,亦好有可能會進一步放緩。

摩根士丹利把今年的全球石油需求增長預期,從原先的每日八十萬桶,大幅下調至每日五十萬桶。而第二季的布蘭特油期貨價格(Brent price)預期,就從每桶五十七個半,調降至每桶五十五元,美國原油期貨價格的預期,亦從每桶五十二個半,調降至每桶五十元。

有分析師預計,石油輸出國組織(OPEC)在明日星期四,於維也納舉行的會議,以及在星期五,與油組的盟友產油國開會,即是所謂的OPEC+會議中,為了應付新型冠狀病毒疫情對石油需求的衝擊,穩定國際油價,在這兩日的會議上,將會宣布在上半年度,整體減產大約一百萬桶,並將目前的限制產量措施,延長到今年年底。

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