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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

印度宣布大選4月登場 莫迪聲勢止跌回升

印度選舉委員會今日宣布,四月十一號將展開大選,分七個階段進行。符合資格選民大約九億人,可算是全球最大規模選舉。總理莫迪因為印巴緊張關係,民意調查回升。

印度首席選舉委員艾若拉,今日在首都新德里的記者會表示,這次選舉預計一個多月完成,有一千五百萬選民,介於十八至十九歲之間。直到幾個星期前,六十八歲的總理莫迪的聲勢,仍然因工作短缺,和農產價格不振,持續下滑。但是在印度軍方上個月和宿敵巴基斯坦爆發衝突後,擁有十三億人口的印度,掀起一股愛國浪潮。民意調查指出,莫迪所屬的印度人民黨,收割政治紅利,在五百四十三個國會席位中,莫迪的執政聯盟,可望囊括二百四十一席。國大黨領導的反對聯盟,可能獲得一百四十一席。這項民意調查是在過去四個星期,抽樣全國五萬人所得出的結果。

印度人民黨在2014年大選,取得五百四十三席中的二百八十二席,是三十年來歷次選舉中取得的最多議席。觀察家分析指出,如果莫迪選情不佳,投資者擔心市場會受影響。在最近幾次選舉,印度人民黨如果勝選,市場就受到造好;但如果選情不佳,市場就會下挫。就算相關政策,通常偏向民粹,投資者仍然認為莫迪,是相對可預測的親商業領導人。

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