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June 13, 2025
財經

以伊衝突致油價飆升 高盛警告或突破每桶90美元

以色列對伊朗展開軍事行動,引發投資者擔憂可能擾亂中東的石油供應;華爾街分析師警告稱,如果以伊衝突急劇擴大,油價可能突破每桶 90 美元。

原油期貨價格在週五大幅上升後有所回落,其中西德州原油期貨價格一度上升至最高的每桶 77.62 美元;布蘭特原油期貨價格則上升至最高的每桶 78.50 美元。

高盛分析師估計,這場衝突可能在未來六個月內暫時導致伊朗每日供應減少 175 萬桶,但石油輸出國組織及其非成員國 OPEC+ 的增產只能抵銷部份影響。

高盛報告指出,他們估計「布蘭特原油價格將在 2026 年躍升至略高於每桶 90 美元的峰值,但隨著伊朗恢復供應,價格將回落至每桶 60 美元左右。」

高盛同時估計,在供應中斷持續的極端情況下,油價可能超過每桶 100 美元。

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