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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

OECD下調今年全球經濟增長預期 至3.2%

經濟合作與發展組織(OECD)今天公佈了最新一次的《經濟展望》報告,隨著中美貿易戰升級,在報告中再度下調了2019年全球經濟增速預測至3.2%;明年經濟增速則維持在3.4%不變。

經合組織將2019年全球GDP增速預期下調0.1個百分點至3.2%,2020年維持在3.4%不變。經合組織表示,貿易緊張態勢下全球增長仍然「低於正常水平」。該組織將中國今明兩年GDP增​​速預估維持在6.2%和6%不變。至於中美貿易糾紛另一主角美國,則獲OECD今年GDP調高今明兩年的GDP增速預估,今年增速預估上調0.2個百分點,至2.8%;明年GDP增​​速預估上調0.1個百分點,至2.3%。

另外,歐羅區今年GDP增​​速預估亦獲調高0.2個百分點,至1.2%;明年GDP增​​速預估上調0.2個百分點,至1.4%。不過,日本GDP增速預估則被下調0.1個百分點,至0.7%;明年GDP增​​速預估亦調低0.1個百分點,至0.6%。多家機構此前紛紛下調全球經濟前景展望。

上個月,國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)下調全球2019年經濟增長預期至3.3%,為金融危機以來新低。年初,世界銀行也下調全球經濟增長預期,並警告下行風險上升。世行表示,2019年和2020年全球經濟增速預計將分別放緩至2.9%和2.8%,此前均下調0.1個百分點。

 

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