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June 7, 2023
財經

OECD上修今年全球經濟成長率至2.7%

經濟合作發展組織(OECD)今(7)日表示,全球經濟在新冠疫情與俄烏戰爭的衝擊後,正要微弱復甦,不過成長會受到頑固通膨的牽制,因為主要央行採取緊縮政策,遏制通膨壓力。

經合組織OECD發布最新經濟展望,預測今年全球經濟將成長2.7%,高於去年11月預測2.2%,但OECD說,2024年全球成長率也同樣只有溫和的2.9%。這兩個數字都低於新冠疫情前七年內的平均成長率3.4%。

美國、歐元區和中國,經濟復甦都會呈現同樣的相對遲滯狀態。經合組織預測2023年美國GDP增長1.6%,高於此前的1.5%;預測中國2023年GDP增長5.4%,高於此前的5.3%。

OECD首席經濟學家郎巴德利 (Clare Lombardelli)說:「全球經濟正在好轉,但要贏得強健且持久的成長,還有長路要走。決策者需要降低負面衝擊引發的後果,處理過程面臨一系列的複雜挑戰。」

世界銀行(World Bank)此前一天也上修全球今年經濟成長預測,但也警告,全球經濟處於不安狀態,而且今年稍後將朝向成長明顯減緩的方向發展,因為升息帶來的苦痛才要出現。

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