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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

IMF 上修全球經濟預測 警告新冠變種病毒不確定性

國際貨幣基金組織 (IMF)  今天發布更新的《世界經濟展望》,預計在新冠疫苗加速推動下,全球經濟擴張步伐加快,2021 年全球 GDP 成長率達 5.5%,比去年 10 月預測提高 0.3%,其中以中國表現最佳。

國際貨幣基金(IMF)週二調高全球經濟成長率至5.5%。IMF 最新報告提到,全球經濟復甦速度取決於變種病毒與疫苗之間如何展開拉力戰,以終結新冠疫情,以及經濟政策與此期間提供有效支持的能力。IMF 警告,各國之間仍然存在巨大的不確定性,經濟前景差異相當大。

IMF 預計美國今年將超過新冠疫情前的水平,遠遠領先於歐元區。美國今年的經濟復甦預測,從先前預期的 3.1% 上調 2% 至 5.1%,這將是自 1984 年以來最強勁的表現。

IMF 將歐元區今年 GDP 預測下調 1% 至 4.2%,但強調這一預測存在很大的不確定性,「疫苗推出緩慢、變種病毒和刺激政策過早收手」等三大因素都將使歐洲經濟惡化。

IMF 不忘重申,各國政府將需要透過財政刺激措施以促進經濟復甦,並確保所有國家都接種新冠疫苗。

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