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October 11, 2023
國際關注

IMF大砍台灣今年經濟成長率至0.8%

國際貨幣基金(IMF)10日公佈的最新預測,台灣今年經濟成長率僅0.8%,遠低於該組織上次預估的2.1%,降幅高達1.3個百分點。

台灣的通膨走勢,IMF預估今年上升2.1%、明年上升1.5%,明顯低於全球今、明年的6.9%與5.8%。 失業率方面,則今、明兩年均維持在3.7%。

IMF對台灣今年的經濟成長預測並非最悲觀的,史坦普先前公佈的預測值只有0.5%、惠譽則預測成長1%;至於官方的預估則以主計總處的1.61%相對樂觀, 中央銀行預測值為1.46%。

台灣國發會昨天回應,全球經濟成長疲軟,抑制台灣出口表現,隨科技新品備貨旺季效應,以及產業鏈庫存去化告一段落,景氣落底訊號浮現,今年第4季出口可望恢復正成長, 也可望增加經濟成長動能。

國發會強調,將強化內需動能,除推動各項疫後強化經濟及社會韌性措施外,也將加速執行公共建設,積極促進產業升級轉型等,持續創造經濟成長新動能。

此外,IMF預測台灣今年消費者物價指數(CPI)上漲2.1%,遠低於全球的6.9%。 對此,國發會表示,政府也將密切注意物價。

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