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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

IMF下調全球經濟增長預期至-4.9% 比4月報告低

國際貨幣基金 (IMF) 週三再度下調今年全球經濟增長預期,同時警告隨著各國政府採取空前財政措施來對抗疫情,國家債務恐急劇飆增。

IMF週三發布《全球經濟前景》報告預計,2020年全球 GDP將萎縮 4.9%,低於 4月預期的 -3%,同時下調 2021年的 GDP增長預期至 5.4%,低於 4月預估的增長 5.8%。

IMF表示:「新冠肺炎疫情為 2020年上半年經濟活動帶來的負面影響超過預期,且復甦腳步較原先預期來得更緩慢。」並解釋下調經濟增長預期主要和各國繼續執行社交距離措施有關,下半年產能和供應鏈將持續受到影響。

以國家來看,IMF 預計今年全球主要經濟體中,美國 GDP將下滑 8%,歐元區 GDP下滑 10.2%,其中德國、法國將分別下滑 7.8%、12.5%。在4月報告中,IMF就已強調,本次全球面臨的是上世紀30年代大蕭條以來最糟糕的經濟後果,兩個月過去了,IMF表示,目前的全球經濟狀況與4月時的預判還要更加糟糕。

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