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July 25, 2023
財經

IMF上調今年全球經濟增長預測至3%

國際貨幣基金組織週二上調了對全球經濟增長的預測至達 3%,但強調經濟仍然面臨許多挑戰。

國際貨幣基金組織 IMF 週二更新《全球經濟展望》報告,估計今年全球經濟增長 3%,較 4 月份預測的 2.8% 上調了 0.2 個百分點;2024 年經濟增長預測不變,維持 3%。

報告預測,今年整體通脹率將達到 6.8%,低於 2022 年的 8.7%。核心通脹率將進一步下降,從去年的 6.5% 降至今年的 6%。

IMF 首席經濟學家古林查斯(Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas)稱,「全球經濟繼續從疫情和俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭中逐步復甦,短期內進步跡象不可否認,但許多挑戰仍然籠罩,目前慶祝仍為時過早。」

IMF 在報告中強調了對信貸條件收緊、全美家庭儲蓄耗盡,以及中國因嚴格疫情封鎖而導致經濟復甦低於預期的擔憂。

報告將美國今年經濟增長預測上調 0.2 個百分點,達到1.8%;2024 年增長 1%。

中國的經濟增長預測將從今年的 5.2% 下降至 2024 年的 4.5%。

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