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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

IMF指美中關稅措施  將影響全球經濟

國際貨幣基金組織IMF今日表示,美中兩國目前已經正在實施以及威脅將會實施的關稅措施,可能會導致明年的全球經濟產出減少半個百分點。而亦是因為兩國的貿易糾紛升級,國基會又將中國的2019年經濟增長展望由原先的百分之六點三下調至百分之六點二。

二十國集團這個週末將會在日本福岡舉行財長和央行行長會議。在開會之前,IMF總裁拉加德表示,自從2018年以來,美中兩國之間開始向對方的貨品徵收關稅。如果加上計劃中將會開徵的關稅,根據計算,去到2020年這輪貿易糾紛將會造成全球生產總值(GDP)蒸發大約四千五百五十億美元,即是相等於目前全球生產總值下跌百分之零點五。這個損失較二十國集團成員國,南非的一年全國生產總值還要多。

拉加德又表示,連同美國目前威脅對墨西哥徵收關稅的措施,這些做法都是自己對自己造成的傷害。她呼籲全球領袖,聯手努力消除最近實施的貿易壁壘,並避免任何形式的壁壘繼續出現。她表示,緩和目前的國際貿易緊張情況,應該是二十國集團的首要工作。而在較早前,國基會已經將中國在2019年的經濟增長預測,從原先的百分之六點三調降至百分之六點二,對2020年的增長預測就只有百分之六。國基會的副董事總經理立頓表示,預計今明兩年中國的經濟增速都會出現放緩,是因為貿易緊張關係,仍然有進一步升級的可能性,短期前景仍然是不明朗。

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