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July 26, 2022
財經

IMF再次調低今明兩年世界經濟增長預測

國際貨幣基金組織 IMF 26日再次調低今明兩年的世界經濟增長預測,分別今年降至3.2%以及明年降至2.9%。

在周二發布的一份報告中,IMF 再次下調世界經濟增長預測,其中今年較4月時的預測低0.4個百分點,降至3.2%;明年預測調低0.7個百分點,降至2.9%。

其中美國今明兩年的經濟增長預測分別降至2.3%和1%;歐洲就降至2.6%和1.2%。正在經歷戰事的俄羅斯及烏克蘭分別萎縮6%及四成半。

國基會表示,全球特別是美國和歐洲的主要經濟體,高於預期的通脹導致金融環境收緊,烏克蘭危機的負面溢出效應也正進一步衝擊世界經濟。

IMF又指,世界經濟面臨多重下行風險,包括烏克蘭危機導致歐洲突然停止從俄羅斯進口天然氣、通脹較預期更難控制、全球金融環境收緊加劇新興市場,和發展中經濟體債務問題等。

如果相關風險成為現實,通脹將進一步上升,今明兩年的世界經濟增長預測則將進一步降至2.6%和2%。

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