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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

IMF大幅下修經濟展望 全球GDP萎縮3%

國際貨幣基金 (IMF)公佈最新一期《世界經濟展望報告》,預計 2020 年全球 GDP 將萎縮 3%,恐將經歷 1930 年大蕭條以來最慘的經濟衰退。

國際貨幣基金(IMF)週二預測,今年全球經濟將萎縮3%,遠不如1月時預估的擴張3.3%,但IMF預期2021年全球GDP從原先預期的增長3.4%,上修至5.8%。在最新報告中IMF表示,今年全球經濟「很可能」經歷自1930年大蕭條以來最嚴重的衰退,衰退程度遠超過10多年前的全球金融危機。IMF經濟學家預計,全球經濟將在2021年實現部分復甦,經濟成長率將高於趨勢,但仍將低於疫情爆發前的趨勢。

另外,IMF預測歐元區今年經濟成長率將萎縮7.5%。義大利和西班牙的經濟形勢將特別困難,分別萎縮9.1% 和 8%。此外,預期美國經濟成長率今年將萎縮5.9%,,此前預期為增長2.0%, 不過到2021年美國GDP增速為4.7%,高於此前預期為1.7%。

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