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August 22, 2025
美國要聞

鮑威爾: 就業市場動盪 暗示或降息以提振經濟

美聯儲週五在懷俄明州傑克遜霍爾舉行年度貨幣政策會議,主席鮑威爾稱,就業市場動盪,暗示將降息以提振經濟。

美聯儲主席鮑威爾在會上表示,勞動力供給和需求都在放緩,市場處於一種「奇怪的平衡狀態」,稱這種異常情況表明,就業市場的下行風險正在上升,指出如果風險成為現實,可能會迅速以裁員人數大增和失業率上升的形式顯現。

他又稱,關稅對物價的影響現已清晰可見,稅率上調已開始推高部份類別商品的價格,當局預計影響將「在未來幾個月內累積」,但時間和幅度存在很大的不確定性,具體影響仍有待觀察。

鮑威爾表示,美聯儲將謹慎行事,但暗示利率可能會發生變化,並表示風險平衡的變化可能需要當局調整政策立場。

市場將鮑威爾的演講解讀為9月降息的跡象。根據衡量市場情緒芝加哥商品交易所的數據,在演講數分鐘後,投資人預計降息25個基點的可能性從前一天的 75% 升至 91%。

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