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June 13, 2025
財經

悲觀情緒明顯減弱 消費者信心今年首度回升

密歇根大學週五公佈的調查顯示,隨著全球貿易戰有望取得進展,消費者對經濟和潛在通膨飆升的悲觀情緒明顯減弱,信心自去年 12 月以來首次回升。

調查顯示, 6月消費者信心指數按月升 15.9% 至 60.5,遠高於道瓊指數預估的 54。目前狀況指數則上升 8.1% 至 63.7;未來預期指數則飆升 21.9% 至 58.4。

然而,所有指數仍遠低於去年同期,主要由於消費者擔心關稅對價格的影響,以及一系列其他地緣政治擔憂。

受訪者也大幅下調了對通膨的預期,一年通膨預期大幅下滑 1.5 個百分點至 5.1%,是自 1981 年以來的最大跌幅;五年通膨預期則小幅下降 0.1 個百分點至 4.1%。

不過,通膨預期仍較去年下半年高,反映出人們普遍認為貿易政策仍可能導致未來一年通膨上升。

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