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May 13, 2025
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4月CPI連3月放緩 Fed降息預期升溫

 4 月消費者物價指數 (CPI) 數據連續第三個月低於市場預期,顯示關稅壓力尚未全面反映,物價漲幅依舊溫和,進一步強化市場對美聯儲今年降息的預期。

勞工統計局 (BLS) 周二 (13 日) 公布最新數據顯示,4 月消費者物價指數 (CPI) 年增 2.3%,為 2021 年 2 月以來最低,略低市場預期與 3 月前值的 2.4%;按月來看成長 0.2%,低於市場預期的成長 0.3%。

與此同時,剔除食品和能源的核心 CPI 在 4 月年升 2.8%,合市場預期且與 3 月前值持平 。

4月物價下滑主因來自非必需性消費需求放緩,包括機票、飯店、二手車與服飾價格皆下跌。

其中,雞蛋價格大跌 12.7%,創 1984 年以來最大單月跌幅;食品雜貨價格年減 0.4%,是近一年來首見下滑。

不過,部分經濟學家警告,關稅帶來的通膨效應可能會從 5 月開始逐步顯現,通膨壓力是否真正受控,仍需觀察接下來幾個月的數據表現。

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by sukie
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