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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

巴菲特致股東信 今日成就只是搭順風車

股神巴菲特在周末發布了最新的年度致股東信,除了交代波克夏海瑟威的業績外,也檢討了過去77 年來的投資史。

巴菲特在致股東信中表示,自他 11 歲開始投資股市以來,基本上都是搭美國經濟成長的順風車,若有人吹噓是自己投資成績,哪麼很明顯是傲慢,藉此諷刺總統特朗普。巴菲特回憶,在 1942 年,美國正期待戰後的增長,而至目前為止,這個國家的成就可說令人歎為觀止。這 77 年以來,股票投資報酬率高達 5,288 倍,若當時投資 100 萬,如今則相當於 53 億。而且他強調,若當時沒有勇氣持有股票,轉而擁抱黃金,所以收益更不到 1%。而展望未來,巴菲特仍然相信在下一個 77 年裡,波克夏能取得的成就幾乎肯定也將是來自美國的經濟順風。

不過近年來,波克夏的表現不如大盤,許多巴菲特壓注的籌碼也失準,除蘋果外,卡夫亨氏股價重挫,波克夏 2018 年第 4 季虧損 254 億美元。目前波克夏主要持有美國運通、蘋果、美國銀行、紐約梅隆銀行、可口可樂、達美航空、高盛集團、摩根大通、穆迪、西南航空、聯合大陸控股、富國銀行等 15 家股票。

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