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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

4月生產者物價指數繼續走低 Fed降息壓力增加

衡量美國通脹壓力指標的4月份生產者物價指數, 漲幅小於預期,顯示美國通膨壓力持續走低, 讓美聯儲價息壓力增加。

勞工部周四報告顯示,美國4月生產者價格指數(PPI)比前個月上漲0.2%, 低於分析師平均預期的增長0.3%,此前一個月PPI指數上漲0.6%。 4月核心生產者價格指數同比增長2.4%,增速創11月新低,與去年5月以來最低增速持平。報告顯示,包括熱塑性樹脂和材料、旅遊住宿服務和一些零售行業的利潤率在內的類別月度均出現下降。能源價格較上月上漲1.8%,提振了整體經濟指標,而食品價格則下跌0.2%。數據暗示美國經濟中的通膨壓力比預期的弱。美聯儲一直視通脹為貨幣政策的一個目標。此前,總統特朗普一直在向美聯儲施壓,要求其降息,以提振經濟。這使得通膨水平成為市場猜測美聯儲是否需要降息的關鍵性指標。但對於通膨表現,市場和美聯儲的理解存在分歧。市場期待降息以應對通膨率走低,但鮑威爾在5月議息會議後的新聞發布會上表示,通膨率走低只是受到了「暫時性因素」影響,並強調美聯儲與政治絕緣,特朗普的言論不會影響美聯儲的決策。會議結束後,市場對於年內降息的預期從超過60%降至50%以下。

 

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