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November 20, 2025
財經

10月會議紀要顯示 今年是否再降息內部意見分歧

聯邦儲備委員會(Federal Reserve)周三公布10月會議紀要顯示,決策層在是否繼續降息的問題上出現明顯分裂,爭論焦點在於疲軟的勞動力市場還是頑固的通脹才是更大的經濟威脅。

儘管美聯儲在10月會議上批准了25個基點降息,但未來路徑卻更加撲朔迷離。紀要顯示,官員們在對12月會議是否再度降息 上分歧擴大。

「許多」官員表示,2025年內大概率不再需要進一步降息。紀要寫道:「若未來數周經濟表現符合預期,數位與會者認為12月進一步下調聯邦基金利率目標區間是合適的。」

然而,許多與會者則認為維持本年度餘下時間利率不變更為適宜。表明內部傾向於不在12月降息。但紀要也強調,「與會者”並不等同於有表決權的投票委員。」

公開市場委員會共有19名與會者,但僅12人擁有投票權,因此12月最終投票結果仍不明朗。這一態度與美聯儲主席鮑威爾(Jerome Powell)先前在會後記者會上所言一致。鮑威爾強調,12月降息「並非板上釘釘」。

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