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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

耶倫預料聯儲會未來一年再加息三至四次

聯邦儲備局前主席耶倫,今日在北京一個會議中發言時表示,目前美國的宏觀經濟指標非常理想,全國失業率下降至百分之三點七,通脹也似乎穩定在當局的2%目標水平附近,她預計聯儲局在未來一年,還會再加息三至四次。

由財經雜誌主辦的,財經年會2019今早於北京舉行。在會中,聯儲會前主席耶倫,透過視訊,與國際貨幣基金組織前副總裁朱民進行對談。耶倫表示,聯儲會在調整貨幣政策的同時,也試圖避免對其他國家產生不必要的負面影響。隨著美國的經濟表現向好,儲備局主席鮑威爾,正繼續讓貨幣寬鬆政策退出,以便聯邦基金利率恢復到中性的水平。耶倫亦表示,除非出現重大的經濟意外,否則預計明年,聯儲會仍然會繼續這樣做。她預期聯儲會在接下來的這一年內,可能會再加息三至四次,以穩定失業率。

至於聯儲會收緊貨幣政策的步伐,就將取決於通脹及勞工市場,相對於目前預期的發展情況。耶倫又強調,雖然目前美國的宏觀經濟狀態非常好,但仍然都要留意下行的風險,未來幾年美國經濟仍然有衰退的可能性。她認為,因為不能過分提高增長率,未來美國的經濟增長可能會放緩至每年百分之二至百分之二點五的水平。她認為美國經濟緩步增長,也可確保就業率的平穩增長,避免通脹可能會過高的情況出現。

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