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August 8, 2022
財經

美聯儲加息成效 消費者對通脹預期顯著下降

紐約聯儲的一項調查顯示,由於汽油價格急劇下跌,以及人們相信食品和住房的快速增長也將在未來消退,消費者對通脹的前景在 7 月份顯著下降。

紐約聯邦儲備銀行的月度消費者預期調查顯示,7 月份的受訪者預計明年通脹率將達到 6.2%,未來三年將達到 3.2%。儘管按照歷史標準來看,數字仍然很高,但與 6 月份6.8% 和 3.6% 的結果相比,兩者均有所下降。

其中受訪者對食品價格增長的預期於未來 12 個月仍將攀升 6.7%,但比上月調查下降 2.5 個百分點,是自 2013 年 6 月以來的最大跌幅。

天然氣價格方面預期明年僅上漲 1.5%,較 6 月下滑 4.2 個百分點,是調查歷史上第二大月度跌幅。

房價方面則從上月的預計上漲 4.4%,降至今個月的上漲 3.5%,是自 2020 年 11 月以來的最低預期漲幅。

調查還顯示,明年整體家庭支出增長預計將降至 6.9%,數字仍相對較高,但遠低於 5 月份創紀錄的 9%。

美聯儲一直在積極加息以降低通脹率,今次調查結果可能會讓政策制定者有理由停止加息。

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