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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

紐聯行報告指通脹預測降至年半低位

紐約聯邦儲備銀行今早發表最新的消費者預期報告。報告指出,在今年二月份,全國消費者對通脹的預期,下降至十八個月以來的最低水平。另外,全國在一月份的零售銷售出現回升,升幅亦多過市場預期。

紐約聯儲銀行的報告指出,全國消費者在二月份的三年期通脹預期中位數,從前值的百分之三,下降至百分之二點八,創下自從2017年八月以來的最低水平。報告又指出,這項數字從去年四月以來,都大致持平。今次是第一次出現明顯變動。而一年期收入預期,就從百分之二點四,上升至百分之二點五。預期在未來十二個月會失去工作的平均機會率,從百分之十四點五,增加至百分之十四點六。期內預期在未來十二個月,會自行離職的平均機會率,就從百分之二十一點四,下降至二十一點二。如果失業後,預期可以找到新工作的平均機會率,就持平在百分之五十九點二。未來一年的房屋價格預期升幅中位數,亦是同一月分持平,維持在百分之三。二月份的家庭收入增長預期,就從一月的百分之二點八,降至百分之二點五。家庭支出增長預期,就由百分之三,上升至百分之三點一。

在另一方面,商務部亦在今日公布,一月份的全國零售銷售數據。期內零售銷售按月增加百分之零點九,增幅高過市場原先預期的百分之零點三。扣除汽車及燃油之後的零售銷售,就按月增加百分之一點二,增幅多過市場預期的百分之零點六。

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