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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

穆迪下調全球投行評級展望至「穩定」

國際信用評級機構穆迪,將全球投資銀行的評級展望,由「正面」下調至「穩定」,主要原因是擔心全球經濟放緩、中央銀行減息、或者甚至是採取負利率政策,都會對投資銀行的盈利能力造成打擊。

穆迪表示,在未來十二至十八個月,全球的不確定性增加,將導致客戶活動減少,包括高盛、摩根大通、匯豐和德銀在內的全球大型投資銀行的盈利能力,將會承受更大壓力。穆迪的董事總經理亞斯蘇,在一份研究報告中表示,全球投資銀行的穩定前景,反映了穆迪的預期,即是在這個經濟週期當中,投資銀行的盈利能力,可能已經見頂。穆迪又表示,受到基礎設施投資及債券到期規模的推動,預計中國的城市建設投資債券,今年在境內外市場的發行規模,都會刷新紀錄。

中國的城投公司境內債券發行規模,今年至今已經超過一萬九千七百億元人民幣;而境外債券發行總計有一百七十一億美元。穆迪預期,雖然中國在六月時收緊對城投公司外債發行的限制,但由於聯儲局減息,預計中國的城投公司境外債券發行規模會有強勁的增長。穆迪預期到明年2020年,中國的城投債將有二百一十億美元的境外債券,和二萬二千億元人民幣的境內債券到期。

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