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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

疫情經濟雙衝擊 OPEC與IEA皆下調石油需求預期

 國際經濟受到新冠病毒疫情打擊後,復甦力道疲軟,石油輸出國組織(OPEC)及國際能源署(IEA)分別在週一(14日)及週二(15日),均下調對今年石油需求的預期。

石油輸出國組織OPEC週一發布月度報告中指出,今年全球每日石油需求預期下調至9020萬桶,比8月發佈的報告要少40萬桶,而最新的預測數字更比去年需求少了950萬桶,OPEC也下調明年每日石油需求預期至9690萬桶,同樣比之前的預測少了40萬桶。

OPEC在報告中,將經濟合作暨發展組織(OECD)國家今年每日石油需求上調10萬桶,非OECD國家則下調50萬桶,主因是印度嚴重的疫情,OPEC並預期,亞洲地區油市的疲弱將持續到明年上半年。

至於國際能源署IEA在今天發佈的月度報告中,也將今年全球每日石油需求預期下調至9170萬桶,比8月發佈時少30萬桶,也比去年全年需求少了840萬桶。IEA在報告中表示,在許多較容易復甦的行業已經回暖後,預期下半年石油需求的復甦力道減慢,首先是經濟低迷可能還要再持續數個月,航空業可能到明年前都不會回復到疫情前的水準。

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