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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

國際航空運輸協會調降本年航空業盈利預測

國際航空運輸協會IATA預期,全球航空業在今年的盈利將會低過原先預期,主要因為全球經濟增長都有放緩的跡象,加上國際貿易糾紛,抑制了航空業的客運量及貨運量。

距離新年來臨不夠一個月,國際航空運輸協會今天發表,預期 2019年度全球航空公司的盈利,預計將從去年的273億元,下降至259億元,然後到2020年會出現反彈,上升至293億元。在今年六月時,協會對全年度的盈利預期是280億元。協會表示地緣政治局勢緊張、社會動盪,以及英國脫歐等事件帶來的不確定性,都導致航空業界的經營環境更加艱難。整體來說,今年全球的經濟表現都比較遲緩,加上貿易戰的衝擊,以及波音737 Max 停飛等事件影響。

與2018 年相比,2019年全年航空公司的每名旅客獲利率下降3%;貨運獲利率下降5%;而航空公司貨運量就下降3.3%,創下自從2009 年以來的最大按年降幅。協會認為明年美國總統大選之後,貿易戰的緊張局勢將會得到舒緩,貿易增長可能會變得強勁,帶動航空業復甦。

協會又看好明年航空業的整體盈利前景,表示業界的表現將於明年趨於穩定。不過協會仍指出,目前在很多國家對抗氣候變化的意識抬頭,碳排放費用或者是燃料稅等政府政策,可能會打擊歐洲部分地區的航空需求。加上波音的復飛仍然未確定,所以全球航空業的前景仍然存在不確定性。

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