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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

國基會警告可能再下調全球增長預測

國際貨幣基金組織的亞太局局長李昌鏞表示,美中貿易磨擦,影響到亞洲的企業信心及投資。在亞洲國家中,包括日本和南韓,因為他們的部份經濟是依靠出口到中國,所以將會受到貿易戰的衝擊。李昌鏞警告,國基會可能會在明年一月進一步下調全球經濟增長預測。

總部位於首都華盛頓的國際貨幣基金組織成立於1945年,負責監察國際貨幣匯率及各國的貿易情況、提供技術和資金協助,確保全球金融制度正常運作。組織的目標是促進國際貨幣合作,推動國際貿易發展,促進可持續經濟增長。在十月的時候,國基會總裁拉加德就表示過,貿易衝突正在演變成一種新的實質性貿易壁壘,隨著不確定因素繼續增加,不單會損害到國際貿易本身,亦會損害到各國的投資及製造業。加上歐元區和日本經濟出現放緩跡象,中國亦顯示出經濟溫和增長的情況。美國與中國的貿易衝突將會進一步加劇這一個趨勢。

國基會的亞太局局長,南韓經濟學家,哈佛大學經濟學博士李昌鏞,近日在接受路透社的訪問時指出,日本和南韓的經濟都依賴對中國出口,可能會成為受貿易戰衝擊最嚴重的亞洲國家。李昌鏞又表示,中國目前尚未轉向採用大規模刺激政策,因為中國有必要應付縮減超額負債等的長期挑戰,但如果貿易緊張的情況加劇,讓中國經濟的增長受到威脅,不排除中國當局會推出刺激措施。李昌鏞表示,目前亞洲、歐洲和美國都顯示出經濟放緩的跡象,國基會可能會在明年一月的會議中進一步下調全球經濟增長預測。

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