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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

國基會警告 央行減息導致債務風險升溫

國際貨幣基金組織發出警告,表示各國的中央銀行,相繼在近月宣佈減息之後,國際投資者轉為追捧高風險的資產,以尋求比保守投資項目較高的回報,導致公司債的風險水平升高。

國際貨幣基金組織表示,全球經濟下滑風險的主要因素,目前仍然是持續的全球貿易緊張情況,以及政策的不確定性。而例如英國可能在無協議的情況之下,脫離歐盟的這一類重要地緣政治事件,亦會令到全球的金融環境急劇緊縮。

基金組織表示,全球的主要央行相繼在近月宣佈減息,雖然較為寬鬆的金融環境,有利於促進經濟增長,但亦同時是鼓勵投資者將目標放在高風險的資產之上。有更多人願意作出更多的金融冒險,就會進而加劇金融的脆弱性。中期金融環境亦更易受到衝擊。如果全球經濟真是再次下滑,在主要經濟體中,全部公司債的四成都可能會被視為是面臨風險。這個比例超過2008年金融海嘯期間的水平。基金組織呼籲,監管機構應該要繼續加強金融監管,採用更廣泛的審慎宏觀調控工具。

另外,在歐洲方面,身兼歐洲央行管理委員會委員的荷蘭央行行長克諾特(Klaas Knot)表示,歐洲央行應該在通脹目標水平附近設下一個範圍,以便於制定貨幣政策時,有更大的靈活性。在過去八年的多數時間,歐洲央行都無法達成接近百分之二的通脹目標。歐洲央行近月為了刺激區內的經濟增長,,推行了更多寬鬆政策,包括再次減息及重啟購債計劃。

 

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