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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

國基會指歐洲經濟風險增 須防範衰退

國際貨幣基金組織的第一副總裁利普頓認為,從保護主義抬頭到英國脫歐等等的因素,導致歐洲經濟正在面臨的風險越來越加劇。歐洲當局需要為防範下一次的經濟衰退,做更多的準備。

利普頓今日在葡萄牙首都里斯本的一場會議中表示,雖然大多數的預測都顯示,歐洲在未來會出現復甦,不過該區近期的經濟放緩規模及放緩速度,,都是讓人感到擔憂。在歐洲本身,英國脫歐的關鍵問題,目前仍然未解決;在國際外圍,美中貿易緊張局勢,亦對全球經濟穩定構成風險,所以必須要認知到歐洲經濟在來緊的一年,仍然會面臨持續的不確定性。利普頓又特別舉例,指意大利是明顯脆弱的一環,該國對於應付未來經濟下行的準備,非常不充足,而意大利經濟目前其實已經陷入衰退,今季亦可能會繼續萎縮。

利普頓警告,歐洲可能再無法重施故技,依靠應付2008年金融危機的工具,因為各國央行幾乎已經再沒有推出刺激政策的空間,大多數政府亦已經背負高額債務;又由於上一次經濟衰退時,歐洲的救助計劃,加於各國及社會各階層的負擔被指不平均,如果真是再出現危機,要實施更多救助計劃。今次要面臨的政治阻力,亦將會大過上次。歐洲當局應該要考慮到這種種因素,為防範下一次的經濟衰退做好準備。

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