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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

花旗 : 金價三至五個月有機會攻上2,000美元

花旗發表最新報告表示,由於黃金今年受到貨幣寬鬆、黃金ETF資金池持續擴張等4大因素的推波助瀾下,金價有望在 6 至9個月後創下歷史高點,並預估金價衝上每盎司2000美元的機率將達 30%。

花旗集團預估,國際黃金價格將在未來六到九個月內創下歷史新高價位,並預估金價在未來三到五個月攻上每盎司2,000美元的機率達30%。花旗在第3季大宗商品展望報告中說:「寬鬆的貨幣政策、超低實質利率、創紀錄的資金湧入股票指數型基金(ETF),以及黃金資產配置比重提高,這些皆有利黃金上漲。」

花旗表示,今年來,以G10貨幣和主要新興貨幣交易的黃金名目價位屢創新高。因此認為,以美元交易的黃金價格再創新高,只是遲早的問題。」這項看法可能面臨幾種風險,包括通縮衝擊的時間延長或美聯儲大幅轉向鷹派政策,但花旗分析師認為,在今年發生這些事的可能性極低。

國際黃金價格今年來已大漲約19%。金價在2011年攀抵每盎司1,921.17美元的歷史新高價位。

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