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January 26, 2023
財經

第四季度經濟數據表現良好 增長趨勢緩慢

商務部週四公佈第四季經濟數據,第四季國內生產總值 (GDP) 年增2.9%,個人消費支出 (PCE) 物價指數上漲 3.2%,整體表現較預期好,但增長趨勢緩慢。

全美第四季度GDP年增2.9%,高於市場預期,增速略低於第三季的 3.2%。佔 GDP 約 68% 的消費支出同期增長 2.1%,略低於上季的 2.3%,但仍為正值。

PCE物價指數上漲 3.2%,符合預期,但較第三季的 4.8% 大幅回落。剔除食品和能源的核心 PCE 指數上漲 3.9%,較上季的 4.7% 下滑。

除了消費者的推動,私人庫存投資、政府支出和非住宅固定投資的增加也幫助提升了 GDP 數據。

繼2021年GDP以1984 年以來最強勁的速度增長之後,去年前兩個季度開始出現負增長,符合普遍定義的技術性經濟衰退。

然而,持續的消費者支出和強勁的勞動力市場幫助經濟數據在最後兩個季度轉為正增長,並為2023年帶來了希望。

不過,大多數經濟學家認為,今年經濟衰退的可能性很大。

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