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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

穆迪指貿易戰對全球經濟影響持久

國際評級機構穆迪表示,目前面對美中兩國的貿易戰升級,預期兩國的貿易糾紛將會逐步惡化,對全球的經濟亦會產生持久的影響。

穆迪表示,隨著最新的形勢變化,美中貿易關係轉向強硬立場的機會率增加至大約四成半。強硬立場即是指華府維持對餘下的中國入口貨品徵收百分之二十五的關稅,中國之後再作出報復。這個局勢,意味著雙方可以達成貿易協議的前景暗淡;而貨幣匯率亦將會成為協議談判當中的一個爭議性話題。

穆迪認為,美中貿易糾紛近期的逐步升級,已經對美中兩國,以至全球各地其他地區的經濟活動產生不利影響。雖然在宏觀經濟的層面,美中爆發全面貿易戰的風險仍然是溫和;但貿易戰的間接影響就比較大,對全球的市場信心及投資都造成影響,這些影響亦越來越明顯。如果這些影響進一步惡化的話,就可能會帶動到全球經濟,發生急速下滑的可能。

另一方面,中國國務院副總理劉鶴應約,會見國會參議院美中工作小組的共同主席、參議員戴恩斯,以及參議員珀杜一行人。劉鶴表示,中美關係關乎世界的穩定與繁榮。中方堅決反對貿易戰,而貿易戰不利於中國,不利於美國,亦不利於整個世界;希望雙方加深互相理解,求同存異,在平等和互相尊重的基礎上妥善解決問題。

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