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October 9, 2023
財經

擔憂以巴交戰衝擊經濟 國際油價大漲

國際油價週一(9 日)一度大漲逾5%,因為巴勒斯坦激進組織哈瑪斯7日對以色列發動驚人、死傷慘重的攻擊,以色列隨後也對加薩走廊宣戰,引發投資人擔憂原油蘊藏豐富的中東地區衝突可能加劇。

亞洲交易時間週一稍早,國際基準布倫特(Brent)和美國西德州中級(WTI)原油價格皆一度大漲超過5%。油市原已因產油大國沙烏地阿拉伯和俄羅斯減產而充滿供應疑慮,最新以巴衝突又令疑慮加重。

過去幾個月,在原油市場的供應緊縮和需求覆蘇的預期下,國際油價一度逼近每桶100美元。但上週由於高利率環境引發了宏觀經濟擔憂,油價單周暴跌近10%。而隨著最新巴以沖突的持續升級,油市前景也變得愈發撲朔迷離。

在此同時,OPEC週一 調升全球石油需求的中長期預測。OPEC 表示,即使再生能源技術迅速擴張,如果要滿足需求的成長趨勢,原油產業也需要高達 14 兆美元的投資。

OPEC 在《2023 年世界石油展望》中表示,預計到 2045 年全球需求將達到每天 1.16 億桶,高於 2022 年的 9960 萬桶,比去年報告中的預測增加約 600 萬桶。

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