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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

房市前景樂觀    11月新屋開工營建許可優預期

商務部於週二公佈 11月份新屋開工及營建許可月增率,分別增加 3.2% 及 1.4 %,雙雙優於市場預期,顯示受惠於低房貸利率,美國房市景氣持續呈現好轉趨勢。

商務部公布11 月份新屋開工月增率為 3.2%,達 135.5 萬戶,高於 10 月份調整後的數據 132.3 萬戶,且優於先前市場預估之 134.5 萬戶。而 11 月份新屋開工的年增率則報 13.6%。

美國新屋開工指數的範圍包含單一家庭住宅 、以及多戶家庭住宅 (multi-family home),11 月份單一家庭住宅的新屋開工月增率為 2.4%,達 93.8 萬戶,創下自今年 1 月以來最高點。若按照地區別來看,西部和東北部呈增長趨勢,而中西部和南部則是呈下滑趨勢。

另外,11 月份多戶家庭住宅的新屋開工月增率則為 4.9%,達 42.7 萬戶。11 月份營建許可的月增率則為 1.4%,大幅優於市場先前預估的衰退 3.8%,達 148.2 萬戶,為自 2007 年 5 月以來最高。11 月份單一家庭住宅的營建許可月增率為 0.8%,創 2007 年 7 月以來最高,而 11 月份多戶家庭住宅的營建許可月增率則為 2.5%,達 56.4 萬戶。

美國住宅投資在連續 6 個季度的緊縮之後,終於在今年第三季開始自谷底回升。而新屋開工和營建許可,皆為房市及經濟的領先指標,消費者在進行購屋計劃時,通常代表著看好未來景氣狀況及經濟前景,因此,11 月份的新屋開工及營建許可雙雙優於市場預期,表示消費者對於房市充滿信心。

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