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June 9, 2022
財經

戰爭與清零 OECD調降全球成長預測至3%

經濟合作與發展組織 (OECD)今天調降了今年全球成長預測。OECD 估計,2022 年全球 GDP 將達到 3%,比 12 月的預測值下滑 1.5 個百分點。

總部位於巴黎的 OECD 周三 (8 日) 在其最新的經濟展望中表示:「烏克蘭遭入侵,以及中國主要城市和港口因清零政策而關閉,已經產生了一系列新的不利衝擊。」

經合組織(OECD)預估今年全球GDP達3%,與去年預測值相比下降1.5%。報告中表示,調降目標在一定程度上「反映出俄羅斯和烏克蘭的嚴重影響」,「但大多數經濟體的成長將大大弱於預期,特別是歐洲,2023 年的預測中已納入對俄羅斯進口石油和煤炭的禁運。」

OECD 表示,歐元區今年將成長 2.6%,美國將成長 2.5%。此外,新興經濟體的全球宏觀形勢更形惡化,預計它們將因糧食供應短缺而受到最大的傷害。

OECD 表示:「鑑於對俄羅斯和烏克蘭農產品出口的依賴,許多新興市場經濟體出現糧食短缺的風險很高。」該機構預測中國今年成長 4.4%,印度成長 6.9%,巴西成長 0.6%。

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