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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

報告預期中國下半年聚焦結構性改革

評級機構標準普爾發表了一份最新報告,預期中國當局在2019年的下半年,將重新聚焦於經濟上的結構性改革,以及處理過熱行業的隱藏風險。報告又認為,中國政府仍然未急於推出大規模的經濟刺激政策。

標準普爾有關全球評級信用分析的報告表示,中國政府對於經濟增速放緩,其實有較大的容忍程度,這個程度亦可能會超出市場普遍預期。標準普爾認為,除非中國的全國性經濟指標,出現急劇惡化,否則中國政府仍然不會急於推出大規模的經濟刺激政策。中國的政策目標,是將資金導向製造業及消費品行業,並控制房地產有關債務的金融風險。報告預期,下半年中國房地產開發商的融資,將可能受到當局的密切監控。如果房地產過熱的風險增加,融資就將會進一步收緊。

報告又認為,政府的政策制定,將繼續致力於結構性改革,包括清走所謂的殭屍企業,逐步消除政府與有關國有企業的關係,並切斷對有關企業的財務支持。政府將會保持刺激措施,或加大措施的力度,以促進發展中地區的基建支出,並推動民營企業的長期融資。

另外,鑑於房地產行業的融資將會轉為緊張,民營企業融資亦會轉趨困難,加上美中貿易糾紛持續,標準普爾預計,中國企業的違約風險將會上升。

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