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June 10, 2025
財經

世銀下調今年全球經濟增長預測至2.3%

世界銀行周二 (10 日) 下修 2025 年全球經濟成長預測,並警告 2020 年代恐成為 1960 年代以來成長最疲弱的十年,主因是貿易緊張局勢和政策不確定性衝擊全球經濟。

世界銀行周二發表報告,將今年全球經濟增長預測由1月的2.7%下調至2.3%,並警告由於貿易緊張和政策不確定性, 2020年代的經濟可能創下自1960年代以來的最低水平。

在最新的《全球經濟展望》報告中,世銀下調了近 70% 經濟體的成長預測。近 60% 的開發中經濟體預期今年成長將放緩,較 1 月預測下調 0.3 個百分點。

低收入國家今年預計成長 5.3%,下調 0.4 個百分點。

美國今年預計成長 1.4%,較先前預測大幅下調 0.9 個百分點,而中國的預測維持在 4.5% 不變。

歐元區和日本的經濟增長率均料為0.7%,分別下調0.3個和0.5個百分點。

報告還警告,若貿易限制升級或政策不確定性持續,成長率可能更低,可能加劇金融市場壓力。

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