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July 22, 2021
Uncategorized

世界銀行預測全球經濟今年將萎縮5.2%

新冠病毒大流行產生的巨大的衝擊使世界經濟陷入嚴重收縮。根據世界銀行6月8日發佈的《全球經濟展望》,全球經濟今年將收縮5.2%。

世界銀行8日發佈的《全球經濟展望》指出,全球經濟收縮5.2%,將是第二次世界大戰以來程度最深的經濟衰退。此次預測較今年1月的預測值下調了7.7個百分點。報告指出,由於內需和供應、貿易及金融嚴重中斷,預計發達經濟體2020年的經濟活動將收縮7%。新興市場及發展中經濟體(EMDE)今年將收縮2.5%。預計人均收入將降低3.6%,今年將使億萬人陷入極端貧困。「這一前景發人深省,危機有可能留下永久的傷疤,構成重大的全球性挑戰。」

根據世界銀行的預測,預計全球增長在2021年回升至4.2%,發達經濟體增長3.9%,新興市場及發展中經濟體回升至4.6%。但這一前景仍具有高度不確定性。按照世界銀行的預測,美國經濟今年將收縮6.1%,歐元區2020年將收縮9.1%,日本經濟將收縮6.1%。

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